College, football

College football Week 4 betting trends to know – ESPN



September 26, 2020
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Week 4 features the largest slate of college football games we’ve had thus far. Here are some betting trends to know prior to kickoff.

Odds listed are from Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill and subject to change.


Kansas State Wildcatsat No. 3Oklahoma Sooners(-27.5, 60.5), Noon ET

• Kansas State is 31-13-1 ATS in its last 45 games as a road underdog.

• Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite.

• Total has gone under in 15 of Kansas State’s last 18 conference games.

No. 5Florida Gators(-14, 57) atOle Miss Rebels, Noon ET (on ESPN)

• Florida is 9-2 as a double-digit favorite since 2017.

• Ole Miss has covered 4 straight as a double-digit underdog.

• Overall, double-digit home underdogs are 4-1 ATS this season.

No. 23Kentucky Wildcatsat No. 8Auburn Tigers(-7.5, 49.5), Noon ET (on SECN)

• Kentucky is 10-2 ATS versus ranked opponents since 2015.

• Auburn has covered 10 of its past 13 games as a favorite.

• Total has gone under in 13 of Kentucky’s last 16 conference games.

No. 13UCF Knights(-27, 77) atEast Carolina Pirates, Noon ET (on ABC)

• Posted total has exceeded 65 in 14 of UCF’s games under head coach Josh Heupel (since 2018). Under is 12-2 in those games.

• East Carolina is 13-34-1 ATS in conference games since 2014.

• Over is 6-1 in Pirates’ past 7 games against ranked opponents.

Georgia Southern Eaglesat No. 19Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns(-11.5, 51), Noon ET (on ESPN2)

• Georgia Southern has covered 4 of its last 5 games against ranked teams.

• The Ragin’ Cajuns are 18-9 ATS dating to end of September 2018, but just 2-5 ATS over their last 7 games.

• Over is 5-1 in the Eagles’ last 6 road games.

• Under is 8-3 in Louisiana’s last 11 games dating to last season.

No. 24Louisville Cardinalsat No. 21Pittsburgh Panthers(-3, 55), Noon ET (on ACCN)

• Louisville is 2-9 ATS against ranked teams since 2017.

• The Cardinals are 6-15 ATS as an underdog since 2016.

• The Cardinals have covered 4 of their last 5 games following a loss.

• The Panthers have covered 6 of the last 7 meetings.

• Over is 14-6 in Louisville’s last 20 road games.

Mississippi State Bulldogsat No. 6LSU Tigers(-16.5, 57), 3:30 p.m. ET

• Bulldogs have failed to cover 6 straight games as a road underdog.

• LSU has covered 4 straight games as a favorite.

• Total has gone under in 5 straight meetings.

• Under is 18-6 in Mississippi State’s last 24 conference games.

No. 8Texas Longhorns(-18, 70.5) atTexas Tech Red Raiders, 3:30 p.m. ET

• Texas is 8-2 ATS versus Texas Tech since 2010.

• The Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS following a bye since 2014.

• Total has gone over in 7 of Texas Tech’s last 8 games against AP top-10 teams.

• Under is 19-7-1 in Longhorns’ last 27 road games dating to 2014.

No. 22Army Black Knightsat No. 14Cincinnati Bearcats(-13.5, 45), 3:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN)

• Army is 16-8-1 ATS in road games since 2015.

• The Black Knights are 20-10-1 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog.

• Army is 3-15-1 ATS following a bye since 2007.

• The Bearcats have covered 5 of their last 6 non-conference games.

• Under is 30-11 in Army’s games after more than 6 days rest since 2006.

West Virginia Mountaineersat No. 15Oklahoma State Cowboys(-7, 51.5), 3:30 p.m. ET (on ABC)

• West Virginia is 6-15-2 ATS as an underdog since 2015.

• The Mountaineers are 5-12-3 ATS in their last 20 games versus ranked opponents.

• The Cowboys are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

• Total has gone under in West Virginia’s last 5 conference games.

No. 4Georgia Bulldogs(-26.5, 52) atArkansas Razorbacks, 4 p.m. ET (on SECN)

• Georgia has covered 4 straight games on the road.

• Arkansas has lost 13 straight games against AP top 5 teams.

• The Razorbacks are 18-38-1 ATS in September since 2005.

• Arkansas is 1-7 ATS as an underdog of 21 or more points since 2017 with a -32.8 PPG differential in those games (all 7 ATS losses were by at least 30 points).

• Total has gone under in 7 of Georgia’s last 8 conference games.

No. 2Alabama Crimson Tide(-27, 56) atMissouri Tigers, 7 p.m. ET (on ESPN)

• Alabama is 11-1 ATS in season openers since 2008.

• Missouri is 4-12 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 2012.

• The Tigers have failed to cover 7 of their last 8 conference games.

• Over is 7-1 in Missouri’s last 8 games against AP top 5 teams.

Vanderbilt Commodoresat No. 10Texas A&M Aggies(-31, 46.5), 7:30 p.m. ET (on SECN Alt)

• Vanderbilt is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games as an underdog.

• Texas A&M is 6-0 ATS in season openers since 2014.

• The Aggies are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite, including 9-3 ATS when laying double digits.

Florida State Seminolesat No. 12Miami Hurricanes(-11, 54), 7:30 p.m. ET (on ABC)

• Florida State is 2-9-1 ATS against ranked teams since 2017.

• The Seminoles are 3-10-1 ATS as an underdog dating to 2017.

• Florida State is 32-11 SU following a loss since 2008.

• Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a double-digit favorite.

• The Hurricanes are 18-9 ATS in September games since 2013.

No. 16Tennessee Volunteers(-3.5, 43.5) atSouth Carolina Gamecocks, 7:30 p.m. ET (on SECN)

• Tennessee has failed to cover 4 straight season openers.

• The Volunteers are 4-11 ATS as a favorite since 2017.

• Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 conference games.

• The Gamecocks are 2-18 SU versus ranked teams since 2015.

• Total has gone under in 12 of South Carolina’s last 16 September games.

NC State Wolfpackat No. 20Virginia Tech Hokies(-7, 57), 8 p.m. ET (on ACCN)

• The Wolfpack have failed to cover 5 straight road games dating back to last season.

• NC State is 1-7 ATS as an underdog since 2018.

• NC State is 5-12 ATS in conference games since 2018.

• Virginia Tech is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games as a favorite.

Troy Trojansat No. 18BYU Cougars(-14, 61), 10:15 p.m. ET (on ESPN)

• The Cougars are 1-7 ATS as a favorite since 2019.

• Troy is 20-10-2 ATS in road games since 2015.

• Over is 40-20 in Troy’s last 60 non-conference games.

• Total has gone over in 4 straight when BYU is coming off more than 6 days of rest.

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